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Texas Elections 2018

Cruz Holds 9-Point Lead over O’Rourke in Latest Texas Senate Race Poll

The poll suggests that Senator Ted Cruz’s efforts to frame Congressman Beto O’Rourke as too radical for Texas voters are hitting home with Republican voters.


Photo of Cruz: J. Scott Applewhite/AP / Photo of O'Rourke: Al Ortiz/Houston Public Media
Photo of Cruz: J. Scott Applewhite/AP / Photo of O'Rourke: Al Ortiz/Houston Public Media

A Quinnipiac University poll shows Senator Ted Cruz holding a 9-point lead over Congressman Beto O'Rourke among likely Texas voters.

The poll shows 8 percent more respondents viewed Cruz favorably than unfavorably. By contrast, negative views of O'Rourke slightly outweighed positive ones. Jim Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at UT Austin noted that, as recently as June, half of Republicans had no opinion of O'Rourke.

“I think that defined a very clear path for the Cruz campaign,” Henson says, “and that path was to make sure that when Republicans started forming opinions about O'Rourke it was one that was negative and perhaps even tinged with a bit of danger.”

Henson said that likely guarantees a large Republican turnout for Cruz. He added O'Rourke's best hope to counter that will be if he can mobilize far more young and Latino voters than have turned out in recent elections.


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Andrew Schneider

Andrew Schneider

Politics and Government Reporter

Andrew Schneider is the senior reporter for politics and government at Houston Public Media, NPR's affiliate station in Houston, Texas. In this capacity, he heads the station's coverage of national, state, and local elections. He also reports on major policy issues before the Texas Legislature and county and city governments...

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