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Poll: Texas Hispanic Voters Slightly Favor Biden For President, One-Fifth of Latinas Undecided

New polling data on the 2020 presidential election shows 48% of Texas Latinos favor Democratic nominee for president Joe Biden, while 38% support President Donald Trump.

Voter Registration
LM Otero / AP Photo
Karina Shumate, 21, a college student studying stenography, fills out a voter registration form in Richardson, Texas.

Latino voters in Texas slightly favor Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden ahead of President Donald Trump, according to a new poll by the nonpartisan Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation.

The poll, which surveyed 846 Texas registered voters, found 48% of polled Latinos said they planned to vote for Joe Biden, while 38% said they would vote for Trump.

Latinas are five times more likely than Hispanic men to be unsure who they are going to vote for. One-fifth of Hispanic women said they are still undecided. Latinas also make up a rapidly growing share of voters, according to recent research.

The polling data also indicates that Latinos in Texas are more split on the presidential election than other groups: six out of 10 white voters support Trump and four out of five Black voters support Biden, according to the poll.

Jason Villalba, president of the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation and former Republican member of the Texas House of Representatives, said Latino support for Trump has grown since 2016.

“Trump in the last cycle ended up getting about 32% of Hispanics and now we're seeing his numbers creep up to 37%, 38% — which is better than both McCain and Romney were able to achieve,” said Villalba.

Hispanic Trump voters show their support at a voter outreach event at Gulf Coast Distillers on Thursday, Sept. 12, 2019.
Florian Martin/Houston Public Media
Hispanic Trump voters show their support at a voter outreach event at Gulf Coast Distillers in 2019.

The poll also found that in contrast with white voters, Texas Hispanics are more likely to support Trump if they have more formal education and are wealthier.

Families that spoke Spanish had a higher preference for Biden.

Polling data also revealed that 42% of Texas Latinos favor Democrat MJ Hegar for the open U.S. Senate seat, compared to 34% who prefer Republican incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn.

However, among all Texas voters, Trump and Cornyn are polling slightly ahead in the presidential and Senate races, with 48% and 44% of the vote, respectively. Biden and Hegar are trailing in Texas with 41% and 37% support from polled voters.