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Turner Leads Buzbee By More Than 20 Points In Runoff Race, HPM-KHOU 11 Poll Finds

Buzbee picked up likely voters from candidates who didn’t make the runoff.

Chris Paul/Houston Public Media
Early voters inside the Texas Southern University library.

If the mayoral runoff election were held today, 55.6% of voters surveyed said they would support incumbent Sylvester Turner, while 34.2% would support challenger Tony Buzbee, according to a new poll from Houston Public Media and KHOU 11.

Among respondents who supported Bill King in the general election, 52.6% said they plan to vote for Buzbee. Sue Lovell supporters were evenly split between Turner and Buzbee, and 100% of Dwight Boykins supporters who participated in the survey said they plan to vote for Buzbee.

In the Nov. 5 general election, Turner received 46.8% of the vote, followed by Buzbee with 28.4%. A total of 12 candidates ran for mayor.

Overall, 16.6% of registered voters in Harris County cast ballots in the November election, down from 20.5% voter turnout in 2015.

Harris County will have 385 polling locations open on Election Day, December 14. Because of the new countywide polling system, voters can cast their ballot at any location. You can look up polling locations, here.

For more information about races on the runoff ballot, here's our election preview.

Which City Council district are you in? Use our tool to find out. You can also see where City Council candidates stand on various issues related to flooding, in our flood survey.

What will the ballot look like? The Harris County Clerk's Office has posted a preview of the ballot on their website.


Poll methodology

Live telephone interviews were conducted with 234 of the 516 registered voters who were surveyed in the previous HPM-KHOU 11 poll, conducted ahead of the November election. Interviews took place between November 20 and December 5, 2019. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 6.4% at the 95% confidence level. The Public Policy Research Institute at Texas A&M University conducted the live telephone interviews. Rice University's Robert Stein and Lena Gohlman wrote and analyzed the survey.

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