The tropical wave that was once tropical storm Harvey will push inland across the Yucatan Peninsula today, inundating the region with tropical moisture which will fuel heavy rainfall.
Forecasters now say what could be Tropical Storm/Hurricane Harvey could make landfall somewhere from the Texas-Mexico border to central Texas coast sometime Friday. According to Weather Underground, “the current conditions should allow Harvey to regenerate into at least a tropical storm before it makes landfall on Friday, and it may be able to reach hurricane strength.” All of the models considered for Harvey’s landfall show that it will happen between the Mexico/Texas border and the central coast of Texas on Friday, weather experts add. Regardless of development, coastal Texas can expect heavy rains in excess of five inches late this week.
Meanwhile, the Harris County Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Management is monitoring the redevelopment of the tropical storm iand its potential impact on Texas coast.
Heavy rainfall will also continue to impact parts of Belize and Guatemala. Rainfall totals will average between 2 and 4 inches and some locations could pick up greater than 6 inches.
This will lead to mudslides and flash flooding in any higher terrain. Additionally, there can be gusty winds with the storm and can cause sporadic power outages.
Tropical Rainstorm Harvey will reemerge into the Gulf of Mexico Wednesday morning into an environment of lower vertical wind shear, very warm sea surface temperatures and deep moist unstable air.
Given these favorable conditions the low pressure area should intensify back into a tropical storm sometime Wednesday or Thursday.
While the future movement of this system remains uncertain, most global computer forecasts are projecting the system to track northwest towards the northeast coast of Mexico.
If the system does track in this manner, it could make landfall over northeast Mexico or perhaps deep South Texas on Friday.
Residents and interests over eastern mainland Mexico and over South Texas should pay close attention to the future redevelopment and movement of this potentially high-impact storm system.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, we are monitoring a tropical wave over the eastern Bahamas. There remains a potential for this system to become better organized over the next few days.
Very heavy rainfall and localized flooding can be expected across the Bahamas and Florida today through Thursday as the system slowly makes a turn to the north as a trough picks it up and sends it out to sea later this week.
The last tropical wave is located east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. This system is unlikely to develop as it struggles with strong wind shear.
_____
Copyright 2017 AccuWeather