Election 2016

Clinton Leads Trump By 10 Points In Harris County, Hobby School Poll Finds

Forty-two percent of registered voters say they support Clinton, compared to 32 percent for Trump, in a four-way contest. But there’s little suggestion of a wave lifting Democratic challengers in down-ballot races.


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Hillary Clinton has opened a double-digit lead over Donald Trump among registered voters in Harris County. That's the finding of a poll by the University of Houston's Hobby School of Public Affairs.

The poll shows Clinton leading Trump in Harris County by 42 percent to 32 percent. Fifteen percent of respondents are undecided. The remainder split between Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein.

Houston Public Media's Coverage of Election 2016

Houston Public Media's Coverage of Election 2016

"White men definitely favor Donald Trump. Women favor Hillary Clinton. But for Clinton to get the level of support she's getting in this poll, she must be getting some Republican women as well," says Renée Cross, associate director of the Hobby School.

Clinton leads by just four points among voters who describe themselves as "extremely likely" to cast a ballot.

The presidential contest is having little impact on down-ballot races in Harris County. Republican District Attorney Devon Anderson holds a one-point edge over Democratic challenger Kim Ogg. Sheriff Ron Hickman, the GOP incumbent, holds a six-point lead over Democrat Ed Gonzalez.

"This leads us to think that the concern nationwide over the ‘Trump effect' may not be as big a problem [for down-ballot Republicans] as it's being made out to be in the media," Cross says.

But Cross adds voters are still paying relatively little attention to local races. More respondents poll undecided in the district attorney's race than support either candidate. In the sheriff's contest, Hickman and "undecided" are tied.





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Andrew Schneider

Andrew Schneider

Politics and Government Reporter

Andrew heads Houston Public Media’s coverage of national, state, and local elections. He also reports on major policy issues before the Texas Legislature and county and city governments across Greater Houston. Before taking up his current post, Andrew spent five years as Houston Public Media’s business reporter, covering the oil...

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