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ERCOT Predicts Adequate Reserve Generation Capacity

The operator of the state’s electric grid anticipates sufficient electricity to meet peak demands in the coming months.

Based on its latest seasonal forecast, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas expects that power plants will produce enough electricity to meet and exceed demand this summer. Pete Warnken is ERCOT’s Manager of Resource Adequacy.

“ERCOT expects to have sufficient reserve capacity to meet the forecasted peak demand of nearly 70,600 megawatts. And note that the all-time peak load of 69,942 megawatts occurred last year, August 10th.”  

Weather is taken into consideration in these seasonal forecasts. Chris Coleman is ERCOT’s Senior Meteorologist.

“I found this upcoming spring and preliminary summer outlook to be one of my most challenging forecasts. Historical similarities are much less than typical. The trend of El Niño and rain patterns over the next few months will help to shape the summer weather pattern.”  

ERCOT says a large coal unit that was to have been taken out of service will instead be available this spring. Also, a 95-megawatt solar facility begins commercial operations soon, increasing solar capacity in the state to 288 megawatts. About 1,100 megawatts of gas-fired generation capacity will be added by the summer, as well as about 730 megawatts of wind.

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