October 2015 Houston Mayoral Poll

Houston Public Media News 88.7/KHOU 11 Poll

KUHF/KHOU 2015 Houston Municipal Election Survey
Conducted by Survey Research Center, University of Houston Center for Public Policy & Rice University
September 25- October 6, 2015
N=567 MOE: +/- 4.1%

 

Click on a tab to view the results. Below are stories about the candidates and key issues. 

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Voting in the City of Houston 

  • Who’s leading in the mayoral race

    Mayor Annise Parker cannot run again for mayor because of term limits. There are seven major candidates for mayor. For whom would you be likely to vote for if the election were held today?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Sylvester Turner 107 19%
    Adrian Garcia 52 9%
    Bill King 51 9%
    Chris Bell 36 6%
    Stephen Costello 28 5%
    Ben Hall 22 4%
    Marty McVey 7 1%
    Don’t know 236 42%
    Refused 26 5%
    Total 565 100%

     

    If no mayoral candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote in this November’s election there will be a run-off election between the first and second place candidates. If the candidates in this December’s runoff election for mayor were Adrian Garcia and Sylvester Turner, for whom would you vote?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Sylvester Turner 168 30%
    Adrian Garcia 107 19%
    Neither 64 11%
    Don’t know 197 35%
    Refused 29 5%
    Total 565 100%
  • What’s important to Houstonians

    What do you think is the most important problem facing the City of Houston that you would like to see the next mayor do something about?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Transportation/Congestion 48 9%
    Public transit 25 5%
    Streets and roads 168 30%
    Taxes 11 2%
    Crime 35 6%
    Drugs 4 1%
    Government waste 14 3%
    Economy 25 5%
    Jobs 13 2%
    Education 13 2%
    Environment 4 1%
    Cost of living 8 1%
    Unsafe traffic conditions 8 1%
    Flooding 12 2%
    Violence 15 3%
    Growth and development 12 2%
    Homelessness 11 2%
    Housing 7 1%
    Overpopulation 2 1%
    Revitalizating neighborhoods 6 1%
    Healthcare 7 1%
    Budget 63 11%
    Racial and sexual harassment in HFD 6 1%
    Nothing 11 1%
    Don’t Know 32 5%
    Refused 3 1%
    Total 565 100%
     
  • City of Houston’s Performance

    How would you rate the job your City of Houston government is doing? Would you say city government is doing an excellent, good, fair or poor job?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Excellent 38 7%
    Good 168 30%
    Fair 205 36%
    Poor 122 22%
    Don’t Know/Refused 30 5%
    Total 566 100%
  • Who plans to vote

    This November, Houston will hold elections for mayor, city council, and other offices. How likely are you to vote in November? Are you …

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Certain to vote 369 65%
    Very likely to vote 197 35%
    Total 566 100%
  • Voter Demographics

    How many children are currently living with you?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    One 57 10%
    Two 33 6%
    Three 15 3%
    Four or more 6 1%
    None 424 75%
    No Answer/Refused 30 5%
    Total 565 100%

    What is the highest level of education you received?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Less than high school 8 1%
    High school diploma 71 13%
    Some college 61 11%
    Two-year college degree 37 7%
    Four-year college degree or more 188 33%
    No Answer/refused 30 8%
    Total 565 100%

    What race do you consider yourself?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    White 302 59%
    African-American 110 21%
    Hispanic/Latino 60 12%
    Asian/Pacific Islander 17 3%
    Native American 2 1%
    Multi-racial/other 21 4%
    Total 513 100%

    Do you own or rent your home?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Own 482 85%
    Rent 46 8%
    No answer/refused 37 7%
    Total 565 100%

    Generally speaking, would you say that you usually think of yourself as a …

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Democrat 237 42%
    Republican 132 23%
    Independent 130 23%
    No answer/refused 66 12%
    Total 565 100%

    What is your marital status?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Married 331 57%
    Separated 2 1%
    Divorced 40 7%
    Widowed 64 11%
    Single 92 16%
    Partnership 3 1%
    No Answer 32 5%
    Total 565 100%

    What is your age?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    18-34 25 4%
    35-44 22 4%
    45-64 191 34%
    65+ 329 58%
    Total 567 100%

    What is your gender?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Female 242 43%
    Male 325 57%
    Total 567 100%

Issues on the Ballot

  • Houston Equal Rights Ordinance

    Do you favor or oppose the Equal Rights Ordinance passed by the Houston City Council that would prohibit discrimination based on sexual orientation, gender identity, race, national origin, age, military status, religion or disability?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Favor 244 43%
    Oppose 209 37%
    Unsure 102 18%
    Refused 9 2%
    Total 565 100%

    Would you still support the City of Houston’s Equal Rights Ordinance if you knew that the ordinance allows a man who identifies and dresses as a woman to use a woman’s restrooms?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 173 72%
    Oppose 36 15%
    Unsure 28 12%
    Refused 3 1%
    Total 240 100%

    Would you still support the City of Houston’s Equal Rights Ordinance if you knew that restaurants and any business open to the public can be fined $5,000 for refusing to allow a man who identifies and dresses as a woman to use the woman’s restroom?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 161 71%
    Oppose 34 15%
    Unsure 30 13%
    Refused 1 1%
    Total 226 100%

    Would you still oppose the City of Houston’s Equal Rights Ordinance if you knew that the National Football League would withdraw the 2017 Super Bowl in Houston and the National College Athletic Association would withdraw playing the Final Four Basketball Tournament in Houston if the voters of Houston repealed the City’s Equal Right Ordinance?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Yes 119 64%
    No 45 24%
    Unsure 20 11%
    Refused 1 1%
    Total 226 100%
  • Harris County Infrastructure Bond

    In order to improve roadways, bridges, parks, flood control and build new facilities for animal protection services Harris County Commissioners Court is asking voters in this November’s election to approve several bonds for $848 million dollars. These bonds proposals will not require the county to raise its property tax rate. Will you support, oppose this bonds proposals or are you unsure?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 299 53%
    Oppose 124 22%
    Unsure 134 24%
    Refused 7 1%
    Total 565 100%

    Editor’s Note: Only voters in the City of Houston answered this question. Our pollster extrapolated from those results that the measure should pass across the entire county.

  • Change Term Limits

    Currently the mayor, controller and all city councilmembers in the City of Houston are limited to holding office to three two year terms for a maximum of six years in each office. In November Houston voters will be asked to allow the mayor, controller and all member of city council to serve two four year terms of office, for a maximum of eight years. Do you support or oppose this change?

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 247 44%
    Oppose 226 40%
    Unsure 86 15%
    Refused 5 1%
    Total 565  100%

    Would you still feel this way if you knew those council members who are not term limited will be eligible to run for two four year terms, for a maximum of 10 years in their current office?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 174 31%
    Oppose 269 48%
    Unsure 116 20%
    Refused 5 1%
    Total 565  100%
  • Property Taxes

    The City of Houston limits the growth in the amount it can collect from property taxes by using a formula tied to inflation and population growth. Do you support or oppose limiting the revenues the City can collect to the combined rates of inflation and population growth or are you unsure?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 238 42%
    Oppose 130 23%
    Unsure 190 34%
    Refused 6 1%
    Total 565 100%

    Would you support raising the current limits on the growth in property taxes if you knew all new taxes would be spent only on public safety, flood control and roads?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Support 211 37%
    Oppose 219 39%
    Unsure 127 23%
    Refused 8 1%
    Total 565 100%
  • Drainage Fee

    In 2010 the City of Houston adopted a drainage fee collected from most property owners in the city. The fee is to be used for upgrades to the city’s streets and drainage. Which of these proposals would be the best long term solution to the city’s drainage and flooding problems?

    Choices Frequency Percent
    Replace the city’s drainage fee with new borrowing by issuing municipal bonds 98 17%
    Repeal the drainage fee 131 23%
    Keep the drainage fee 177 32%
    Unsure 151 27%
    Refused 8 1%
    Total 565 100%

 

Methodology: Live telephone interviews were conducted with 567 registered voters in the City of Houston.  The sample included voters (N=464) who had voted in two of the three last City of Houston municipal elections (i.e., 2009, 2011 and 2013) and registered voters (N=103) who did not vote in two or more of the last three elections.  Interviews were conducted with registered voters who reported they were either ‘certain’ or ‘very likely’ to vote in the November, 2015 election.  The sample is weighted to represent the expected proportion of vote cast in November by race and ethnicity.