October 2015 Houston Mayoral Poll

Houston Public Media News 88.7/KHOU 11 Poll

KUHF/KHOU 2015 Houston Municipal Election Survey
Conducted by Survey Research Center, University of Houston Center for Public Policy & Rice University
September 25- October 6, 2015
N=567 MOE: +/- 4.1%

 

Click on a tab to view the results. Below are stories about the candidates and key issues. 

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Voting in the City of Houston 

  • Who’s leading in the mayoral race

    Mayor Annise Parker cannot run again for mayor because of term limits. There are seven major candidates for mayor. For whom would you be likely to vote for if the election were held today?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Sylvester Turner10719%
    Adrian Garcia529%
    Bill King519%
    Chris Bell366%
    Stephen Costello285%
    Ben Hall224%
    Marty McVey71%
    Don’t know23642%
    Refused265%
    Total565100%

     

    If no mayoral candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote in this November’s election there will be a run-off election between the first and second place candidates. If the candidates in this December’s runoff election for mayor were Adrian Garcia and Sylvester Turner, for whom would you vote?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Sylvester Turner16830%
    Adrian Garcia10719%
    Neither6411%
    Don’t know19735%
    Refused295%
    Total565100%
  • What’s important to Houstonians

    What do you think is the most important problem facing the City of Houston that you would like to see the next mayor do something about?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Transportation/Congestion489%
    Public transit255%
    Streets and roads16830%
    Taxes112%
    Crime356%
    Drugs41%
    Government waste143%
    Economy255%
    Jobs132%
    Education132%
    Environment41%
    Cost of living81%
    Unsafe traffic conditions81%
    Flooding122%
    Violence153%
    Growth and development122%
    Homelessness112%
    Housing71%
    Overpopulation21%
    Revitalizating neighborhoods61%
    Healthcare71%
    Budget6311%
    Racial and sexual harassment in HFD61%
    Nothing111%
    Don’t Know325%
    Refused31%
    Total565100%
     
  • City of Houston’s Performance

    How would you rate the job your City of Houston government is doing? Would you say city government is doing an excellent, good, fair or poor job?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Excellent387%
    Good16830%
    Fair20536%
    Poor12222%
    Don’t Know/Refused305%
    Total566100%
  • Who plans to vote

    This November, Houston will hold elections for mayor, city council, and other offices. How likely are you to vote in November? Are you …

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Certain to vote36965%
    Very likely to vote19735%
    Total566100%
  • Voter Demographics

    How many children are currently living with you?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    One5710%
    Two336%
    Three153%
    Four or more61%
    None42475%
    No Answer/Refused305%
    Total565100%

    What is the highest level of education you received?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Less than high school81%
    High school diploma7113%
    Some college6111%
    Two-year college degree377%
    Four-year college degree or more18833%
    No Answer/refused308%
    Total565100%

    What race do you consider yourself?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    White30259%
    African-American11021%
    Hispanic/Latino6012%
    Asian/Pacific Islander173%
    Native American21%
    Multi-racial/other214%
    Total513100%

    Do you own or rent your home?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Own48285%
    Rent468%
    No answer/refused377%
    Total565100%

    Generally speaking, would you say that you usually think of yourself as a …

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Democrat23742%
    Republican13223%
    Independent13023%
    No answer/refused6612%
    Total565100%

    What is your marital status?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Married33157%
    Separated21%
    Divorced407%
    Widowed6411%
    Single9216%
    Partnership31%
    No Answer325%
    Total565100%

    What is your age?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    18-34254%
    35-44224%
    45-6419134%
    65+32958%
    Total567100%

    What is your gender?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Female24243%
    Male32557%
    Total567100%

Issues on the Ballot

  • Houston Equal Rights Ordinance

    Do you favor or oppose the Equal Rights Ordinance passed by the Houston City Council that would prohibit discrimination based on sexual orientation, gender identity, race, national origin, age, military status, religion or disability?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Favor24443%
    Oppose20937%
    Unsure10218%
    Refused92%
    Total565100%

    Would you still support the City of Houston’s Equal Rights Ordinance if you knew that the ordinance allows a man who identifies and dresses as a woman to use a woman’s restrooms?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support17372%
    Oppose3615%
    Unsure2812%
    Refused31%
    Total240100%

    Would you still support the City of Houston’s Equal Rights Ordinance if you knew that restaurants and any business open to the public can be fined $5,000 for refusing to allow a man who identifies and dresses as a woman to use the woman’s restroom?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support16171%
    Oppose3415%
    Unsure3013%
    Refused11%
    Total226100%

    Would you still oppose the City of Houston’s Equal Rights Ordinance if you knew that the National Football League would withdraw the 2017 Super Bowl in Houston and the National College Athletic Association would withdraw playing the Final Four Basketball Tournament in Houston if the voters of Houston repealed the City’s Equal Right Ordinance?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Yes11964%
    No4524%
    Unsure2011%
    Refused11%
    Total226100%
  • Harris County Infrastructure Bond

    In order to improve roadways, bridges, parks, flood control and build new facilities for animal protection services Harris County Commissioners Court is asking voters in this November’s election to approve several bonds for $848 million dollars. These bonds proposals will not require the county to raise its property tax rate. Will you support, oppose this bonds proposals or are you unsure?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support29953%
    Oppose12422%
    Unsure13424%
    Refused71%
    Total565100%

    Editor’s Note: Only voters in the City of Houston answered this question. Our pollster extrapolated from those results that the measure should pass across the entire county.

  • Change Term Limits

    Currently the mayor, controller and all city councilmembers in the City of Houston are limited to holding office to three two year terms for a maximum of six years in each office. In November Houston voters will be asked to allow the mayor, controller and all member of city council to serve two four year terms of office, for a maximum of eight years. Do you support or oppose this change?

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support24744%
    Oppose22640%
    Unsure8615%
    Refused51%
    Total565 100%

    Would you still feel this way if you knew those council members who are not term limited will be eligible to run for two four year terms, for a maximum of 10 years in their current office?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support17431%
    Oppose26948%
    Unsure11620%
    Refused51%
    Total565 100%
  • Property Taxes

    The City of Houston limits the growth in the amount it can collect from property taxes by using a formula tied to inflation and population growth. Do you support or oppose limiting the revenues the City can collect to the combined rates of inflation and population growth or are you unsure?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support23842%
    Oppose13023%
    Unsure19034%
    Refused61%
    Total565100%

    Would you support raising the current limits on the growth in property taxes if you knew all new taxes would be spent only on public safety, flood control and roads?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Support21137%
    Oppose21939%
    Unsure12723%
    Refused81%
    Total565100%
  • Drainage Fee

    In 2010 the City of Houston adopted a drainage fee collected from most property owners in the city. The fee is to be used for upgrades to the city’s streets and drainage. Which of these proposals would be the best long term solution to the city’s drainage and flooding problems?

    ChoicesFrequencyPercent
    Replace the city’s drainage fee with new borrowing by issuing municipal bonds9817%
    Repeal the drainage fee13123%
    Keep the drainage fee17732%
    Unsure15127%
    Refused81%
    Total565100%

 

Methodology: Live telephone interviews were conducted with 567 registered voters in the City of Houston.  The sample included voters (N=464) who had voted in two of the three last City of Houston municipal elections (i.e., 2009, 2011 and 2013) and registered voters (N=103) who did not vote in two or more of the last three elections.  Interviews were conducted with registered voters who reported they were either ‘certain’ or ‘very likely’ to vote in the November, 2015 election.  The sample is weighted to represent the expected proportion of vote cast in November by race and ethnicity.