Dr. Gerry Bell is the lead hurricane forecaster for NOAA.
This was his prediction back in May: “We’re indicating a likely range of 13-20 named storms.”
And this is his updated forecast: “For the season as a whole, we’re predicting 13-19 named storms.”
Bell says not much has changed in the outlook, it’s still shaping up to be an above normal to active season with six to nine hurricanes.
“The numbers of named storms and hurricanes that we’re predicting now are slightly lower than what we were saying in May. And that’s because the possibility of extreme activity is a little bit less. But make no mistake about it, this is still a lot of activity that we’re predicting.“
Dr. Bell points out that the bulk of hurricane activity is yet to come. The Atlantic hurricane season has already produced four named storms and is busiest from August to mid-October.