NOAA Updates Hurricane Forecast, Active Season Still Likely

The Atlantic hurricane season is at the mid-point. NOAA forecasters say the second half of the season will be above normal with a number of named storms still to come. The updated outlook reiterates the predictions made at the beginning of the season.

Dr. Gerry Bell is the lead hurricane forecaster for NOAA. 

This was his prediction back in May“We’re indicating a likely range of 13-20 named storms.”

And this is his updated forecast“For the season as a whole, we’re predicting 13-19 named storms.”

Bell says not much has changed in the outlook, it’s still shaping up to be an above normal to active season with six to nine hurricanes.

“The numbers of named storms and hurricanes that we’re predicting now are slightly lower than what we were saying in May. And that’s because the possibility of extreme activity is a little bit less. But make no mistake about it, this is still a lot of activity that we’re predicting.

Dr. Bell points out that the bulk of hurricane activity is yet to come. The Atlantic hurricane season has already produced four named storms and is busiest from August to mid-October.


Laurie Johnson

Laurie Johnson


Laurie is a native Houstonian who started her career at Houston Public Media in 2002. Laurie has covered a wide variety of topics for HPM, including the crash of the Space Shuttle Columbia, Hurricanes Katrina and Ike, and numerous elections. She is a frequent contributor to NPR and has been...

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